Municipal Bond Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PFMIX Fund  USD 9.49  0.02  0.21%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0018, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Municipal Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Municipal Bond is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Municipal Bond Fund are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Municipal Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Municipal Bond Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  937.00  in Municipal Bond Fund on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12.00  from holding Municipal Bond Fund or generate 1.28% return on investment over 90 days. Municipal Bond Fund is currently producing 0.0206% returns and takes up 0.1185% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Municipal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Municipal Bond is expected to generate 4.57 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 6.86 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Municipal Bond Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.49
Please note that Municipal Bond's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Municipal Bond secures a last-minute Real Value of $9.47 per share. The latest price of the fund is $9.49. We determine the value of Municipal Bond from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Municipal Bond is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Municipal Mutual Fund. However, Municipal Bond's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.49 Real  9.47 Hype  9.49
The intrinsic value of Municipal Bond's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Municipal Bond's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.47
Real Value
9.59
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Municipal Bond Fund helps investors to forecast how Municipal mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Municipal Bond more accurately as focusing exclusively on Municipal Bond's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.379.499.61
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Municipal Bond Fund extending back to June 15, 2000. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Municipal Bond stands at 9.49, as last reported on the 8th of February, with the highest price reaching 9.49 and the lowest price hitting 9.49 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Municipal Bond Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Municipal Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.49 90 days 9.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Municipal Bond to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Municipal Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of Municipal Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Municipal Bond has a beta of 0.0018 indicating as returns on the market go up, Municipal Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Municipal Bond Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Municipal Bond Fund has an alpha of 0.0108, implying that it can generate a 0.0108 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Municipal Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Municipal Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Municipal Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.379.499.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.359.479.59
Details

Municipal Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Municipal Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Municipal Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Municipal Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Municipal Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.57

Municipal Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Municipal Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Municipal Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 11.01% of its assets in cash

Municipal Bond Fundamentals Growth

Municipal Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Municipal Bond, and Municipal Bond fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Municipal Mutual Fund performance.

About Municipal Bond Performance

Evaluating Municipal Bond's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Municipal Bond has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Municipal Bond has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in debt securities whose interest is, in the opinion of bond counsel for the issuer at the time of issuance, exempt from federal income tax . It may invest up to 20 percent of its net assets in U.S. government securities andor money market instruments. The fund may invest without limitation in private activity bonds whose interest is a tax-preference item for purposes of the federal AMT.

Things to note about Municipal Bond performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Municipal Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Municipal Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 11.01% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Municipal Bond's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Municipal Bond's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Municipal Bond's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Municipal Bond's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Municipal Bond's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Municipal Bond's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Municipal Bond's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Municipal Bond's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Municipal Bond's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Municipal Bond's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Municipal Bond's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Municipal Mutual Fund

Municipal Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Municipal Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Municipal with respect to the benefits of owning Municipal Bond security.
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